Workspace /A2 Forward and Futures Pricing
A2

Forward and Futures Pricing

Price a forward or futures contract from the spot price and the cost of carrying the asset to expiry, value an existing contract during its life, and test a quoted price for arbitrage.

Learning focus: the forward price is the spot price carried forward at the risk-free rate, less what owning the asset earns and plus what it costs to hold, because any other price lets someone lock in a riskless profit.

Contract
yrs
%
Continuous yields (optional)
%
%
%

Yields always compound continuously and can be combined with the amounts above.

Value during its life
yrs

Uses the same rate, compounding and yields as the contract above.

Cash-and-carry check
Forward price
102.9000
Basis (S − F)
−2.9000
Carried spot
98.0000
Value to long (later)
4.5799
Value to short (later)
−4.5799
Forward now (later)
107.5930
Forward price against time to expiry

Holding the spot price and rates fixed, the forward price converges to the spot price as expiry approaches, so the basis shrinks to zero. The dot is today's contract. For this chart, income and costs entered as present values are spread evenly over the contract's life.