Workspace /B3 Binomial Tree
B3

Binomial Tree

Value a European or American option by working back through a recombining binomial tree, with moves set from a volatility or given directly, and see how the value settles as the steps increase.

Learning focus: at each node the option is worth its discounted risk-neutral expected value, or, if American, its exercise value when that is higher.

Option
yrs
Rates
%
%
Up and down moves
American put value
5.0896
European value (same tree)
4.1927
Early-exercise premium
0.8970
Up factor (u)
1.200000
Down factor (d)
0.800000
Risk-neutral probability (p)
0.628178
Step length (Δt)
1.000000 yrs
Delta at the first node
−0.5293
Early-exercise nodes
1
The tree
S 50.00, V 5.0896S 50.00V 5.0896S 40.00, V 12.0000, exercised earlyS 40.00V 12.0000S 60.00, V 1.4148S 60.00V 1.4148S 32.00, V 20.0000S 32.00V 20.0000S 48.00, V 4.0000S 48.00V 4.0000S 72.00, V 0.0000S 72.00V 0.0000

Early exercise

Each node shows the underlying's price (S) and the option's value (V). Work right to left: end nodes hold the payoff, and each earlier node discounts the probability-weighted values of the two nodes after it. Highlighted nodes are where exercising immediately is worth more than holding.

Convergence as the steps increase

CRR trees from 1 to 60 steps at a volatility of 20.27%, the volatility the given factors imply over one 1.0000-year step, σ = ln(u ÷ d) ÷ (2√Δt). The European value zigzags toward Black–Scholes–Merton as the strike falls between or on nodes, and the gap shrinks as steps are added. The American line sits above it by the early-exercise premium, which has no closed form.